NCAA College Football 2021: Top 4 Win Total Predictions
Even though the College Football season does not kick off until August 28th, the sportsbooks have already posted the odds for the Win Totals betting market for NCAA college football teams.
Prior to finalizing your 'Over or Under' College Football Win Total futures, read below for a breakdown of our best bets. Note: The win totals do not include conference championship games or bowl games.
Alabama Crimson Tide 11.5 (-125 under)
The Alabama Crimson Tide are tied with the Clemson Tigers for the highest win total at 11.5. Deservedly so, the Tide have been to five of the six college football playoffs since it came into effect in 2014.
However, despite Alabama's success, they have gone undefeated during the regular season in just four of the last 12 years. According to ESPN's College Football Power Index, Nick Saban and his men have the 7th hardest schedule this year. They have three games away from home against projected top-15 teams.
Alabama will more than likely be in the playoffs, but with their more challenging schedule and the fact that they will have a new starting quarterback, they likely lose at least one game.
Texas 7.5 ( -125 over)
The Longhorns finished last season 7-3. However, all three of those losses were by only one possession score.
Texas will welcome new head coach Steve Sarkisian and Casey Thompson as the likely starting quarterback this season. The duo will get out the gates quickly due to Sarkisian's offensive wisdom and experience coaching professional-level quarterbacks. According to Pro Football Focus, when Sarkisian was the offensive coordinator with Alabama in the 2019 and 2020 seasons, he did not have a negative expected points added (EPA) per play over a game.
Texas has a relatively favorable non-conference schedule against Louisiana-Lafayette, Arkansas, and Rice. If they can take care of their easier conference home games against the Kansas, Kansas State level of talent teams and come away with a big road upset win, they will exceed their projected 7.5 win total for the regular season.
North Carolina 9.5 (+105 under)
North Carolina will be heading into this upcoming season with loads of confidence due to Sam Howell being the man under center. The junior is a preseason Heisman Trophy candidate after throwing 68 touchdowns and just 14 interceptions during his sophomore season.
However, the Tar Heels will need to replace many of the offensive weapons around their star quarterback. North Carolina had six players drafted in the 2021 NFL Draft, including Javonte Williams, Michael Carter, Dyami Brown, and Dazz Newsome, who accounted for 48 total touchdowns last season. Expect Howell to have a spectacular season, but the talent around him may not be good enough for the Tar Heels to earn double-digit wins.
Stanford 4 (-110 over)
Stanford may end up getting exactly four wins this season, but it would be hard to see them fall below that number. Since David Shaw became the head coach in 2011, they have never won less than four games.
The Cardinal's have Vanderbilt and Kansas State in their non-conference schedule, which are two very winnable games. Moreover, they will likely be able to pull out at least two more victories in a PAC-12 conference full of upsets every year. *Odds were updated Tue, August 3, 2021, at 3:30 PM ET – Subject to Change – Odds from FanDuel SportsBook* ALSO: How and When Will Soccer Have a Meaningful Statistic Similar to Other Sports?